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An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Within a long swath of severe-thunderstorm potential from central Texas to the Lower Great Lakes, the greatest concentration of severe weather (mainly large hail and damaging wind) should be across parts of central Texas to central Arkansas. A few tornadoes are also possible.
 For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

 Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Thu (05/23). See details...
Hazard Wed (05/22) Thu (05/23) Fri (05/24) Sat (05/25) Sun (05/26) Mon (05/27) Tue (05/28) Wed (05/29)
Severe Enhanced Slight Marginal Severe Severe No Area No Area No Area
Fire Elevated Critical Critical Critical No Area No Area No Area No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 22 May

Tornado Probabilities: 22 May

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 22 May

Severe Hail Probabilities: 22 May

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 22 May

Significant Wind Probabilities: 22 May

Significant Hail Probabilities: 22 May


More severe weather climatology data here.
2024 Tornado Watch Summary
Page last modified: May 22 2024 12:28 UTC
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2024 Severe Tstm Watch Summary
Page last modified: May 22 2024 12:28 UTC
Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 22 May

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 22 May

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 22 May

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 22 May


More wildfire climatology data here.
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May 20, 2024 Tornado: 2 Wind: 89 Hail: 103
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